13 May 2022
As central banks look to control inflation, the question many of us are asking is: does a recession lurk just around the corner, or will the Fed manage to engineer some sort of a soft landing?
The Henley Fixed Interest Team has been doing some macro research – and they think the answer lies in the 1950s, 60s, 70s and 80s.
In the years between rock and roll, Beatlemania and MJ, they’ve spotted a recessionary indicator. And it’s visible in the relationship between CPI and the rate of unemployment.
Want to know more? Lewis Aubrey-Johnson gives us a round-up of the decades. And all in under three minutes.
Investment risks
The value of investments and any income will fluctuate (this may partly be the result of exchange rate fluctuations) and investors may not get back the full amount invested.
Important information
Data is provided as of 27 April 2022, sourced from Invesco, unless otherwise stated.
This video is marketing material and is not intended as a recommendation to invest in any particular asset class, security or strategy. Regulatory requirements that require impartiality of investment/investment strategy recommendations are therefore not applicable nor are any prohibitions to trade before publication. The information provided is for illustrative purposes only. It should not be relied upon as recommendations to buy or sell securities.
Where individuals or the business have expressed opinions, they are based on current market conditions. They may differ from those of other investment professionals. They are subject to change without notice and are not to be construed as investment advice.