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The recovery from the Covid crisis continues, with global activity now exceeding its pre-pandemic peak. However, this rapid rebound has already run into supply constraints in many sectors and economies, leading to a surge in global inflation. Some of these demand-supply imbalances should ease over the coming quarters, helping to cool price growth. But it’s hard to escape the conclusion that Covid has permanently damaged the supply side of the global economy, implying a less favourable trade-off between growth and inflation.

Value stocks and sectors have rallied sharply over recent times, driven by shifting expectations for inflation and monetary policy. Our value-focused portfolio managers discuss what lies ahead for investors in the US and UK markets, with a focus on the evolving opportunity set in the financials sector.

 In 2020, the impact of the pandemic on the US labour market was unprecedented, with the unemployment rate in the country hitting 14.8% at its peak and the number of unemployed soaring, from some 7 million to over 23 million. In this brief note we take a close look at the US labour market today and discuss why it is important for investors to watch in the coming months.

The reflation narrative is gathering steam and many investors are questioning the extent to which the recent back-up in core government bond yields can continue. Against this backdrop, Fidelity Strategic Bond Fund Co-Manager Claudio Ferrarese gives his outlook for rates and outlines the factors which suggest that this may well present a buying opportunity.

Fidelity Strategic Bond Fund co-portfolio managers Tim Foster and Claudio Ferrarese outline how they have effectively navigated an eventful last 12 months in global fixed income markets. If 2020 was a year of dramatic changes, they also look ahead and discuss why they expect 2021 to be more focussed on alpha and picking the right opportunities.

The Federal Reserve announced no major policy changes at the June FOMC meeting, as expected. Anna Stupnytska, Head of Global Macro and Investment Strategy dissects the key messages from the statement; whilst there was an overtone of “considerable risks” to the outlook for the US it’s not all bad news and there are early signs of stabilisation.

A critical look at the factors underpinning recent market moves suggests that the current disconnect between the positivity of Wall Street and the sobering economic reality of Main Street will converge. We outlines three things investors should consider when positioning for this phase and why this could be good news for active investors.

Recent market volatility has opened up a number of new opportunities, but methods of assessing these must adapt to avoid value traps. Fidelity American Special Situations Fund Manager Angel Agudo discusses the complexities of determining the price to pay for US companies in a post-pandemic world.